In 2012, we found that Facebook “likes” and “PTAT” metrics, when added to a model including standard forecasting fundamentals, can produce surprisingly accurate vote forecasts of campaigns for the U.S. Senate.The question remains, however, whether our results in 2012 were an anomaly or a tool to expand the statistical forecasting of election results to campaigns for Congress.

In 2012, we found that Facebook “likes” and “PTAT” metrics, when added to a model including standard forecasting fundamentals, can produce surprisingly accurate vote forecasts of campaigns for the U.S. Senate. The question remains, however, whether our results in 2012 were an anomaly or a tool to expand the statistical forecasting of election results to campaigns for Congress.